Bridge Tip #23
by Mark Blumenthal on
May 11th, 2009
Bridge is a percentage game. You don’t have to remember the exact numbers, but you should have a rough idea. of them. For example, when you are declarer in four spades with eight trumps between your hand and dummy you should be aware that missing five cards in a suit the chances are about 67% or 2/3 of the time, will split 3 – 2, that they will split 4 -1 almost 30% or less than 1/3 of the time and about 4% of the time they will split 5 – 0. or 1 time in 25 times. When you plan your play of the hand you have to know how likely you are to make and what the chances are you may go down if suits do not break favorably.
While in matchpoints you generally go with the odds, you should be aware that the The odds may not be favorable in every suit. In IMPs or rubber bridge overtricks are not nearly as important as they are in matchpoints or board a match . You have to be aware the that it is very possible some suit will break in a way that is least favorable and should look for a line of play that will to ensure making your contract even though one or more suits may break worse than is to be expected to be the acording to be the the most likely percentages .